The Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could have an Impact: 2019

Written by Sabrang Staff | Published on: March 20, 2019

In tables, the study shows where the Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could impact. The earlier part of this series revealed how an analytical study by Community Forest resource-Learning and Advocacy Network shows how the forest and land rights of India’s 200 million forest dwellers, could be, if made into a vibrant election issue, become a deciding factor in how a fourth, i.e. 25 per cent (133 of 543) constituencies vote in the coming general election.



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Which are the regions areas and constituencies where this issue could seriously impact.

Critical Value Constituencies

Definition: These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where more than 60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
 
State PC Name PC Type winner Party 2014 Losing Party 2014 Margin 2014 Voters eligible for FRA rights % total voters eligible of FRA rights Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Chhattisgarh Bastar (ST) BJP INC 124359 904818 70% 725647
Chhattisgarh Kanker (ST) BJP INC 35158 712924 49% 246280
Chhattisgarh Raigarh (ST) BJP INC 216750 703155 43% 126069
Chhattisgarh Surguja (ST) BJP INC 147236 794376 52% 247558
Gujarat Chhota Udaipur (ST) BJP INC 179729 463908 30% 96257
Gujarat Dahod (ST) BJP INC 230354 791618 56% 94837
Gujarat Valsad (ST) BJP INC 208004 622907 41% 194805
Jharkhand Chatra GEN BJP INC 178026 861318 66% 370775
Jharkhand Khunti (ST) BJP JKP 92248 742780 67% 191566
Jharkhand Lohardaga (ST) BJP INC 6489 663764 59% 176987
Madhya Pradesh Betul (ST) BJP INC 328614 659442 41% 201742
Madhya Pradesh Mandla (ST) BJP INC 110469 1136361 62% 188983
Madhya Pradesh Ratlam (ST) BJP INC 108447 552756 32% 105582
Madhya Pradesh Shahdol (ST) BJP INC 241301 781982 50% 396903
Maharashtra Dindori (ST) BJP NCP 247619 688042 45% 186735
Maharashtra Gadchiroli-Chimur (ST) BJP INC 236870 988638 67% 692421
Maharashtra Nandurbar (ST) BJP INC 106905 548111 33% 175803
Maharashtra Palghar (ST) BJP BVA 239520 593995 38% 163368
Odisha Kandhamal ST BJD BJP 298868 775036 68% 241957
Odisha Keonjhar (ST) BJD BJP 157317 994742 74% 167873
Odisha Koraput (ST) BJD INC 19328 750077 58% 115199
Odisha Mayurbhanj (ST) BJD BJP 122866 999092 75% 79657
Odisha Nabarangpur (ST) BJD INC 2042 1106812 85% 261603
Odisha Sambalpur GEN BJD BJP 30576 858368 66% 211220
Odisha Sundargarh (ST) BJP BJD 18829 786792 56% 154775
Rajasthan Banswara (ST) BJP INC 91916 785873 46% 159182
Rajasthan Udaipur (ST) BJP INC 236762 913104 50% 297322
Sikkim Sikkim GEN SDF SKM 41742 270193 73% 104211
Telangana Adilabad (ST) TRS INC 171290 464382 33% 340501
Telangana Mahabubabad (ST) TRS INC 34992 472366 34% 312634
West Bengal Jhargram (ST) AITC CPM 347883 515882 35% 103705

 
High Value Constituencies

Definition: These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where between 50%-60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
 
State PC Name PC Type winner Party 2014 Losing Party 2014 Margin 2014 Voters eligible for FRA rights % total voters eligible of FRA rights Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
AP Araku (ST) YSRC TDP 91398 169539 13% 71391
Chhattisgarh Korba GEN BJP INC 4265 752257 53% 300802
Gujarat Bardoli (ST) BJP INC 123884 327410 20% 121835
Jharkhand Dumka (ST) JMM BJP 39030 304568 24% 35939
Jharkhand Hazaribagh GEN BJP INC 159128 800687 53% 208226
Jharkhand Kodarma GEN BJP CPI(ML)(L) 98654 869316 53% 171832
Jharkhand Palamu (SC) BJP RJD 263942 957072 58% 260304
Jharkhand Rajmahal (ST) JMM BJP 41337 317363 23% 60818
Karnataka Bellary (ST) BJP INC 85144 342205 23% 85540
Karnataka Raichur (ST) INC BJP 1499 251028 15% 25821
MP Dhar (ST) BJP INC 104328 455766 27% 126266
MP Khargone (ST) BJP INC 257879 482457 28% 91534
Odisha Bargarh GEN BJD BJP 11178 752015 53% 43639
Odisha Bolangir GEN BJD BJP 104299 920886 59% 90131
Odisha Dhenkanal GEN BJD BJP 137340 800918 59% 96254
Odisha Kalahandi GEN BJD BJP 56347 842832 57% 59048
Rajasthan Dausa (ST) BJP NPP 45404 388773 26% 122736
Uttarakhand Almora (SC) BJP INC 95690 722564 58% 280926
Uttarakhand Garhwal GEN BJP INC 184526 540188 43% 175792
Uttarakhand TehriGarhwal GEN BJP INC 192503 353086 26% 656194
 
Good Value Constituencies:

Non ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 30%-50% of the eligible voters in the constituency
 
State PC Name PC Type winner Party 2014 Losing Party 2014 Margin 2014 Voters eligible for FRA rights % total voters eligible of FRA rights Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Chhattisgarh Mahasamund GEN BJP INC 1217 509706 34% 127947
Gujarat Panchmahal GEN BJP INC 170596 632610 40% 75873
HP Kangra GEN BJP INC 170072 472986 38% 347773
HP Mandi GEN BJP INC 39856 443461 39% 506772
Jharkhand Giridih GEN BJP JMM 40313 586067 39% 113423
Jharkhand Singhbhum (SC) BJP JBSP 87524 507703 44% 123779
Karnataka Bidar GEN BJP INC 92222 597579 37% 44822
Karnataka Dakshina Kannada GEN BJP INC 143709 576966 37% 141619
Karnataka Shimoga GEN BJP INC 363305 485649 31% 254062
Karnataka UdupiChikmagalur GEN BJP INC 181643 450594 32% 204342
Karnataka Uttara Kannada GEN BJP INC 140700 676939 47% 869255
Kerala Alathur (SC) CPM INC 37312 437200 36% 58756
Kerala Palakkad GEN CPM SJ(D) 105300 431384 36% 84487
Kerala Wayanad GEN INC CPI 20870 582397 47% 127495
MP Balaghat GEN BJP INC 96041 737306 45% 178035
MP Chhindwara GEN INC BJP 116537 587436 42% 232452
MP Damoh GEN BJP INC 213299 589040 36% 145252
MP Khandwa GEN BJP INC 259714 563119 32% 131256
Maharashtra Ahmednagar GEN BJP NCP 209122 642417 38% 78926
Maharashtra Baramati GEN NCP RSP 69719 683738 38% 77815
Maharashtra Bhandara-Gondiya GEN BJP NCP 149254 749053 45% 126163
Maharashtra Madha GEN NCP SWP 25344 522514 30% 44302
Maharashtra Raigad GEN SHS NCP 2110 501565 33% 117788
Maharashtra Ramtek (SC) SHS INC 175791 558625 33% 95900
Maharashtra Shirdi (SC) SHS INC 199922 469207 32% 75333
Maharashtra Shirur GEN SHS NCP 301814 568151 31% 69447
Maharashtra Wardha GEN BJP INC 215783 565992 36% 62270
Odisha Aska GEN BJD INC 311997 450145 32% 20747
Odisha Balasore GEN BJD BJP 141825 597779 44% 11985
Odisha Berhampur GEN BJD INC 127720 437969 33% 91339
Odisha Cuttack GEN BJD INC 306762 452635 33% 33963
Odisha Jajpur (SC) BJD INC 320271 522418 40% 32332
Odisha Puri GEN BJD INC 263361 443887 32% 22739
Rajasthan Jhalawar-Baran GEN BJP INC 281546 674337 40% 325712
West Bengal Purulia GEN AITC AIFB 153877 593474 40% 45273
 
 
Medium Value Constituencies

Definition: Non ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 20%-30% of the eligible voters in the constituency
 
State PC Name PC Type winner Party 2014 Losing Party 2014 Margin 2014 Voters eligible for FRA rights % total voters eligible of FRA rights Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Andhra Pradesh Hindupur GEN TDP YSRC 97325 336878 23% 82407
Andhra Pradesh Nellore GEN YSRC TDP 13478 341816 21% 71387
Andhra Pradesh Rajampet GEN YSRC BJP 174762 361865 24% 75217
Andhra Pradesh Tirupati (SC) YSRC BJP 37425 366163 23% 146896
Bihar Jamui (SC) LJP RJD 85947 366171 24% 83713
Chhattisgarh Janjgir-Champa (SC) BJP INC 174961 357947 21% 49337
Chhattisgarh Rajnandgaon GEN BJP INC 235911 378587 24% 121934
Gujarat Sabarkantha GEN BJP INC 84455 419246 26% 96464
HP Hamirpur GEN BJP INC 98403 310825 25% 68621
HP Shimla (SC) BJP INC 84187 240290 21% 199157
Jharkhand Ranchi GEN BJP INC 199303 458347 28% 85558
Kerala Idukki GEN IND INC 50542 335021 29% 228731
Madhya Pradesh Guna GEN INC BJP 120792 329634 21% 136827
Madhya Pradesh Khajuraho GEN BJP INC 247490 503515 30% 90828
Madhya Pradesh Sagar GEN BJP INC 120737 375051 25% 113202
Madhya Pradesh Satna GEN BJP INC 8688 425270 29% 192760
Madhya Pradesh Tikamgarh (SC) BJP INC 208731 371293 24% 71544
Madhya Pradesh Vidisha GEN BJP INC 410698 478198 29% 309175
Maharashtra Bhiwandi GEN BJP INC 109450 438747 26% 167106
Maharashtra Chandrapur GEN BJP INC 236269 452258 26% 168213
Maharashtra Dhule GEN BJP INC 130723 484420 29% 118647
Maharashtra Hingoli GEN INC SHS 1632 405378 26% 136603
Maharashtra Jalna GEN BJP INC 206798 335921 21% 48180
Maharashtra Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg GEN SHS INC 150051 289741 21% 56938
Maharashtra Raver GEN BJP NCP 318068 342112 21% 48844
Maharashtra Sangli GEN BJP INC 239292 353644 21% 29644
Maharashtra Satara GEN NCP IND 366594 463865 27% 105443
Maharashtra Yavatmal-Washim GEN SHS INC 93816 514738 29% 136243
Rajasthan Bharatpur (SC) BJP INC 245468 446550 26% 87530
Rajasthan Bhilwara GEN BJP INC 246264 470581 27% 127138
Rajasthan Chittorgarh GEN BJP INC 316857 390077 21% 201878
Rajasthan Jaipur Rural GEN BJP INC 332896 409036 24% 80168
Rajasthan Jalore (SC) BJP INC 381145 416921 23% 188201
Rajasthan Karauli-Dholpur (SC) BJP INC 27216 399796 26% 225838
Rajasthan Kota GEN BJP INC 200782 351084 20% 203572
Rajasthan Tonk-SawaiMadhopur GEN BJP INC 135311 369665 22% 115966
Tamil Nadu Dharmapuri GEN PMK AIADMK 77146 379150 28% 182933
Tamil Nadu Krishnagiri GEN AIADMK DMK 206591 278530 20% 148844
Telangana Khammam GEN YSRC TDP 11974 299974 21% 175647
Telangana Medak GEN TRS INC 361277 315287 21% 54780
Telangana Nizamabad GEN TRS INC 167184 307474 21% 90611
Telangana Zahirabad GEN TRS INC 144631 375398 26% 84021
Uttar Pradesh Hamirpur GEN BJP SP 266788 352897 20% 40312
Uttar Pradesh Jhansi GEN BJP SP 190467 465853 24% 59338
Uttar Pradesh Robertsganj (SC) BJP BSP 190486 479134 29% 142184
West Bengal Alipurduars (SC) AITC RSP 21397 352159 24% 82179
West Bengal Bankura GEN AITC CPM 98506 321601 21% 52505
 
Also Read:
1. Why the Opposition Should Take the Campaign for Implementation of FRA 2006 Seriously
2. What the Campaign for Forest Rights (FRA 2006) Should Demand: Election 2019

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