Lokniti CSDS Post Poll Survey: NDA in driver’s seat in North India?

The Lokniti CSDS Post Poll survey results are out and – – if these are to be believed – – it looks like the NDA is likely to win several big ticket states in North India. These include Bihar, Haryana and Rajasthan. It also looks like it will be neck and neck in Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. It also says that the NDA will secure 40-42 per cent of the over all vote share.
 

The following image shows the vote share projections based on the Lokniti CSDS post poll survey (data till 6^th phase):

According to this, the NDA will sweep 54 percent of the votes in Bihar, with the UPA only getting 36 percent. Even Haryana will see the NDA getting 48 percent of the votes with the UPA tally restricted to 28 percent. The NDA’s lotus will also bloom in Rajasthan with 49 percent of the votes going to it. The NDA is also projected to take 48 percent of the votes in Delhi.

The race is tighter in Uttar Pradesh where though the NDA is projected to get 44 percent of the vote, the Mahagathbandhan is expected to net 41 percent. If the Congress throws in its 9 percent, the NDA can be kept out. Similarly in Madhya Pradesh the NDA is projected to win 48 percent of the vote, but the UPA is not far behind with 41 percent and if the BSP’s 6 percent are added to it, the race becomes too close to call.

But the surprise comes from the East with the NDA projected to win 37 percent of the vote in West Bengal, where the TMC is just a shade higher with 39 percent. Assam also appears to be welcoming the BJP with open arms despite the experiments with the Citizenship Amendment Bill. The NDA is projected to win 50 percent of the votes in Assam, with the UPA trailing with 37 percent.