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Jharkhand’s second round goes to Mahagathbandhan, the alliance is strong on 3 out of 4 seats

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The arithmetic of Mahagathbandhan seems to be working on ground level, as in the second phase of polls in Jharkhand, the grand alliance in three Lok Sabha constituencies is in a strong position

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Jharkhand Mahagathbandhan leaders share stage together during Babulal Marandi’s nomination (File picture)
 

Ranchi: After Lok Sabha Election’s second phase of voting in Jharkhand, the trend seems going in favour of Mahagathbandhan as out of 4, 3 seats—Khunti, Ranchi and in Koderma, gathbandhan candidates are on stronger position.

If the reports of voting trend are to be believed, former Chief Minister Arjun Munda set to lose his election, as well as BJP candidates from Ranchi Sanjay Seth and Annapurna Devi from Koderma. Only, Jayant Sinha will be able to retain his Hazaribagh seat.

Political observers believe that there are reports of vote boycotts in some areas of Hazaribagh constituency, and in all these areas, if votes would have been polled, it might have gone against the incumbent member of parliament, Jayant Sinha.

In Khunti, Raghubar Das led BJP government’s forcible suppression of the Pathalgadi movement has angered the tribals and it worked against former chief Arjun Munda. Several organizations that work for the betterment of the marginalised have worked hard to mobilize voters to vote against the BJP candidate in Khunti.

On the other hand, all seem to be going well for the Mahagathbandhan and Congress candidate Subodh Kant Sahay in Ranchi. In Ranchi rural, Congress has managed to get a large chunk of votes.

In Koderma too, things have worked in favour of the Mahagathbandhan candidate – former chief minister Babulal Marandi. He too has been able to grab large votes from the unhappy BJP supporters, who have been vocal protesting against the party’s decision of denying a ticket to Ravindra Rai and fielding an outsider – Annapurna Devi.

“Reports are good and we are going to win with a good margin in Koderma,” claimed an excited Marandi while talking to eNewsroom.
On being asked how would BJP losing the Koderma seat impact the future politics of Jharkhand and centre? Replying to that the former CM said, “Voting in Koderma and Jharkhand has been anti-establishment, against Narendra Modi and Raghubar Das, so it means a lot.”

If Marandi manages to win Koderma seat, it will be really a mandate against PM Narendra Modi and CM Raghubar Das too, as not only the chief minister toured Koderma constituency four times but PM had also hold a rally here.

In the first phase Chatra, Lohardagga and Palamu voted, and here too,  gathbandhan is in a strong position in at least two seats.

In the third phase, Giridih, Dhanbad, Jamshedpur and Singhbhum’s Lok Sabha constituencies will be voting on May 12, while May 19 polling will take place in Godda, Rajmahal and Dumka constituencies of Jharkhand.

However, in the evening, Marandi has alleged that the Giridih district administration which conducts the election for Koderma during Lok Sabha election is allegedly favouring BJP. The Jharkhand Vikash Morcha (JVM) chief has even written to the Election Commission of India regarding it. He has alleged that despite the availability of a strong room in Bazar Samiti, Giridih, why a separate cluster had been created in Satgawah, Koderma to store 51 booth’s Electronic Voting Machine (EVM) s?

Courtesy: enewsroom.in

Elections 2019: After Five Phases, NDA Tally Half of 2014

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Projections based on last Assembly elections and state-wise swings in votes indicate that the BJP-led NDA government is heading for a defeat, getting just 124 out of 424 seats where polling has finished.

 

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Representational image. | Image Courtesy: Latestly.in

With the completion of polling for 51 seats on May 6, people in 424 parliamentary constituencies have voted in the ongoing Lok Sabha elections. Newsclick’s data analytics team has analysed previous Assembly election results and, after factoring in state-wise swings in votes, it appears that the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is headed for a debacle getting only 124 seats compared with 251 in the 2014 elections. The Congress led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is likely to increase its tally dramatically from just 55 last time to 169 this time.

Besides these two alliances, several other parties or regional alliances which are aligned against the NDA and likely to support the UPA after final results are declared, are also projected to increase their tally. Among them, the strongest showing appears to be that of the Gathbandhan (Alliance) in Uttar Pradesh which will increase its seats from a mere four in 2014 to 37 this time round. Out of the 80 seats in UP, 27 are yet to go to polls and the Gathbandhan’s tally is likely to increase further. The BJP and its allies had won 73 of the 80 seats last time.

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NDA includes Shiv Sena, JDU, TDP and various smaller parties. UPA includes NCP, RJD, JDS and various smaller parties.
Source: Projections from ECI Assembly/LS results

Other states in which the BJP-led NDA is facing defeat include Tamil Nadu, where its current alliance partner AIADMK is getting resoundingly defeated with rival DMK alliance (part of UPA) getting as many as 28 of the 38 seats that have completed polling, with polling deferred for one seat.

In the last two phases of polling, significant BJP/NDA strongholds went to polls including 13 seats in Madhya Pradesh, seven seats in Jharkhand and all 25 seats of Rajasthan. However, these projections indicate that the BJP is likely to lose significantly in these states too, ceding 12 seats in Rajasthan, six in Jharkhand and four in MP.

The Left parties are likely to increase their tally from 10 to 19 in these five phases. Other parties gaining seats are YSR Congress in (YSRCP) Andhra Pradesh and Trinamool Congress (AITC) in West Bengal, where BJP may also increase its tally.

The projections take into account the discontent against the Modi government on various significant issues like aggravated farmers’ distress, unemployment, lack of increase in wages, industrial slow down, increase in corruption and the communal ideology of the ruling BJP (and RSS) which has laid siege on minorities and dalits/adivasis, fostering violence against these deprived sections. Swings against the Modi government have been tempered to account for discontent against state govts. run by opposition parties wherever necessary.

The continued slide of NDA as the election process inches across the country indicates that on May 23, the results are likely to throw up a severely depleted NDA, with insufficient numbers to form a government.

[Data analysis by Peeyush Sharma and mapping by Glenissa Pereira]

Courtesy: News Click